The pace of the race can be key in both flat and jumps racing.
Within the Proform Professional software with have various pace data available.
Pace Abbrev
For every horse in every race we allocate a Pace Abbreviation of how they ran in each race.
The pace abbreviations used are:-
L = Led
P = Prominent
H = Held Up
The pace abbreviations can then be seen in many of the form book screens so you can quickly see a horses running style.
You can also analyse the pace abbreviations in the system builder, this gives plenty of scope for pace profiling course, trainers, jockeys and horses and much more
Pace Form String
On every race card we show a pace form string alongside the form string, i.e.
The form string may be 091240-81130
The pace string may be HHLLPH-HLLPH
You can see from this example that seeing a pace abbreviation form string along with a form string allows you to see patterns in form tied together with pace.
The Pattern Matcher in Proform also allows you to profile pace abbreviations for each horse and trainer.
Pace Ratings & Pace %
On every race card we also have Pace Ratings and Pace Percentages.
The pace ratings and Pace % are a guide as to how a race will be run.
They are calculated as follows :- we store pace abbreviations for each horse for every run it has, they can be either L for Led, P for Prominent or H for Held Up.
Then to calculate a pace rating for an upcoming race we look at the last 3 runs the horse had and allocate points based on the pace abbreviation given as follows :- 4pts for Led, 2pts for Prominent and 0pts for Held Up, so for instance if a horse Led in all of it's last 3 runs it would get a points total of 12pts or if it was Held up in one race, Led in another and was prominent in the third race then it would get 6pts.
The pace rating column on the race card screen contains this total for each horse and from these the pace percentage column is calculated.
To use these two columns is then simple, if a horse as a percentage of higher than 33% then it is more than likely that it will lead and could even get a soft lead. If there are two or 3 well clear of the rest then one of these will likely lead.
Using these in conjunction with the pace details that are carried for each course and distance along with the draw stats is a powerful tool.
Pace Course and Distance Statistics
On every race card we also show the course and distance pace statistics, which are displayed like this
These show you how horses have performed using the three different running styles at this course and distance.
You see the wins and runs, the impact value and the profit loss to £1 level stakes at SP.
The impact value is important, in theory all being equal each group (L, P and H) should have an impact value of 1.0.
On average Held up horse account for around 50% of the runners so should account for 50% of the winners but this is generally not the case and the impact values will show you were a pace bias exists.
A Impact Value of 2.0 would indicate that that group wins twice as often as it should while a Impact Value of 0.5 would mean that group wins half as often as it should.
The Full list of Pace Course and Distance Statistics can also be downloaded from our members area.
