Some cracking racing Today both on the flat with the Ces and over jumps with two excellent Listed races at Market Rasen.
This is what we will concentrate on, namely the 14.40 Listed Chase.
We have Rebel Du Maquis clear top rated with a Proform Odds Line price of 9/2.
The 9th place finish last time out when last seen at the Galway Festival will deceive most punters since he had to race off a very high OR of 153 and although 9th still ran creditably enough with a Proform Speed Figure very similar to the easy win at Stratford the race before.
The previous two races saw easy wins off 134 and 142 with the 3lb claimer Ryan Mahon riding.
Today Rebel Du Maquis is running off a decent mark of 146 and with Harry Dernham claiming 7lb he looks well in to bounce back and take this valuable Listed Handicap.
Added to this his the form of the Nicholls stable over the summer.
In the last two months Nicholls has sent out 12 runners and 5 winners for a 42% strike rate and in the last month 4 from 5 winners for a 80% strike rate, this 30k event is sure to have been the target for Rebel Du Maquis.
Rebel Du Maquis Currently priced at nearly double our predicted odds (9/2) at 8/1 with quite a few firms, which represents excellent value.
Good Luck
Simon, Proform.
UK & IRISH Horse Racing Form Database System Builder / Research Tool and In Running Trading Module www.proformprofessional.com
Friday 28 September 2012
Saturday 22 September 2012
Heavy/Soft Ground Form for all three Ayr Cups
Yesterday the official going at Ayr was described as Heavy, while using our own standard times we make it Soft.
Whichever the case (ours is correct) you need a horse today which can handle the underfoot conditions.
With this in mind the following lists are the horses record on Heavy or Soft ground (Proform actual going, not official going) for each of the 3 cup races i.e. Green Park has run 17 times on Heavy or Soft ground and has won or placed on 10 of those occasions for a win and place strike rate of 58.85%
| Bronze Cup | |||
| Horse | Run | Win & Plc | Win & Plc S/R |
| Green Park | 17 | 10 | 58.82 |
| Tajneed | 8 | 4 | 50.00 |
| Ucanchoose | 12 | 4 | 33.33 |
| Roker Park | 5 | 4 | 80.00 |
| Arganil | 7 | 3 | 42.86 |
| Arctic Feeling | 6 | 3 | 50.00 |
| Coolminx | 6 | 2 | 33.33 |
| Tip Top Gorgeous | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Best Trip | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Parisian Pyramid | 6 | 2 | 33.33 |
| Church Music | 4 | 2 | 50.00 |
| Jack Dexter | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Llewellyn | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Karaka Jack | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Baldemar | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Amenable | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Bonnie Charlie | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Rasaman | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Cheveton | 8 | 1 | 12.50 |
| Valmina | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hamoody | 3 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Frequency | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dorback | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pick A Little | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pelmanism | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| New Leyf | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Silver Cup | |||
| Horse | Run | Win & Plc | Win & Plc S/R |
| Grissom | 14 | 6 | 42.86 |
| Spinatrix | 6 | 6 | 100.00 |
| Jedward | 6 | 4 | 66.67 |
| Fast Shot | 4 | 3 | 75.00 |
| An Saighdiur | 4 | 3 | 75.00 |
| Klynch | 5 | 3 | 60.00 |
| Valery Borzov | 10 | 3 | 30.00 |
| Mayoman | 3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Layla's Hero | 3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Trade Secret | 4 | 2 | 50.00 |
| Street Power | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Thunderball | 3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Advanced | 10 | 2 | 20.00 |
| Kaldoun Kingdom | 6 | 2 | 33.33 |
| Highland Colori | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Ancient Cross | 5 | 2 | 40.00 |
| Partner | 5 | 1 | 20.00 |
| Cadeaux Pearl | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Mass Rally | 5 | 1 | 20.00 |
| Amadeus Wolfe Tone | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Capone | 5 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Lightning Cloud | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hamza | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Gatepost | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| El Viento | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Gold Cup | |||
| Horse | Run | Win & Plc | Win & Plc S/R |
| Pintura | 8 | 7 | 87.50 |
| Maarek | 8 | 5 | 62.50 |
| Cheviot | 5 | 4 | 80.00 |
| Mirza | 8 | 4 | 50.00 |
| Colonel Mak | 6 | 3 | 50.00 |
| Doc Hay | 6 | 3 | 50.00 |
| Borderlescott | 4 | 3 | 75.00 |
| Boastful | 4 | 3 | 75.00 |
| The Cheka | 2 | 2 | 100.00 |
| Regal Parade | 6 | 2 | 33.33 |
| Captain Ramius | 3 | 2 | 66.67 |
| Brae Hill | 4 | 2 | 50.00 |
| Pearl Ice | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Rodrigo De Torres | 4 | 1 | 25.00 |
| Tariq Too | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Waffle | 4 | 1 | 25.00 |
| Sholaan | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Shropshire | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Miss Work of Art | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Beacon Lodge | 2 | 1 | 50.00 |
| Morache Music | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Our Jonathan | 3 | 1 | 33.33 |
| Johannes | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hawkeyethenoo | 5 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jonny Mudball | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Alben Star | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Louis The Pious | 2 | 0 | 0.00 |
Monday 17 September 2012
William Hill Ayr Gold Cup Festival Meeting
This week from Thursday to Saturday is the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup Festival Meeting with the Bronze, Silver and Gold cups.
Using Proform Professional we have compiled a statistical guide and trend analysis of the Silver and Gold Cups for our members.
Full members can download the guide on the following link.
Using Proform Professional we have compiled a statistical guide and trend analysis of the Silver and Gold Cups for our members.
The Ayr Gold Cup Trends in the guide have picked the winner in all of the last 7 years, 11 from 15 years overall.
Full members can download the guide on the following link.
(NOTE: You will need your members login and password to download the PDF)
If you wish to subscribe to Proform to receive this guide then prices start from less then £2 a day, email info@proformprofessional.com for details.
The guide contains the analysis of the following
Days Since Last Run
Trainer Switch, 2nd Run for New Trainer
Trainer Record Comparisons
Rather than just compare the strike rate of trainers at the Ayr Western Meeting, which every
man and his dog will do, we have compared their Ayr Western Meeting Strike Rates to their
overall strike rates in the same month (September).
Jockey Record Comparisons
We have performed the same analysis on jockeys at the Ayr Western Meeting, compared with their overall September record, minimum 10 rides.
Gold, Silver & Bronze Cup Draw Statistics
Ayr Gold Cup Trends
Using the trends highlighted the winner was found in all of the last 7 years and overall in 11 of the last 15 years.
Ayr Silver Cup Trends
If you wish to subscribe to Proform to receive this guide then prices start from less then £2 a day, email info@proformprofessional.com for details.
Regards
Simon
Sunday 16 September 2012
Proform Statistic's
www.proformprofessional.com
Trainer George Baker's record in September on the turf over the last 5 years is :-
Strike Rate: 23.64%
Winners: 13
Runners: 55
LSP: +£53.94
The Expected Winners is 5.88, which equates to a A/E of 2.21, so George Baker has had more than twice as many winners than expected in September on the turf.
If we also compare this strike rate of 23.64% to his overall turf record strike rate in the last 5 years, which is 12.96%, we can September runners offer a much better chance of winning.
Today George Baker runs WASPY at Bath in the 17:40, which is also Top Rated on our Odds Line with a value price of 5/2+
WASPY is currently 7/2 in a couple of places and plenty of 100/30 and 3/1 on offer.
17:40 Bath WASPY 1pt win 5/2+ (2nd 9/2)
Trainer George Baker's record in September on the turf over the last 5 years is :-
Strike Rate: 23.64%
Winners: 13
Runners: 55
LSP: +£53.94
The Expected Winners is 5.88, which equates to a A/E of 2.21, so George Baker has had more than twice as many winners than expected in September on the turf.
If we also compare this strike rate of 23.64% to his overall turf record strike rate in the last 5 years, which is 12.96%, we can September runners offer a much better chance of winning.
Today George Baker runs WASPY at Bath in the 17:40, which is also Top Rated on our Odds Line with a value price of 5/2+
WASPY is currently 7/2 in a couple of places and plenty of 100/30 and 3/1 on offer.
17:40 Bath WASPY 1pt win 5/2+ (2nd 9/2)
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